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Salary Thief

5 min · 2026-10-12

How much does pay have to rise just to stand still?

The compound-interest formula behind the inflation sandbox, what it tells you, and the three things it cannot tell you.

A pay rise below inflation is a pay cut. That is the whole idea, and the arithmetic is the same compound-interest formula used for everything else.

futurePrice  = currentPrice × (1 + i)^n
payToKeepUp  = currentPay   × (1 + i)^n

n is in years. To work in days: n = days ÷ 365 (itself an assumption)

What the multiplier looks like

Multiplier applied to prices and to pay at various assumed annual rates
RateAfter 5 yearsAfter 10 yearsAfter 20 years
2%×1.10×1.22×1.49
3%×1.16×1.34×1.81
5%×1.28×1.63×2.65

Multiplier applied to prices and to pay at various assumed annual rates

At 3% a year, pay has to be about a third higher in ten years to buy exactly what it buys today. Standing still is not free.

What this is not

  • Not a forecast. You supply the rate; the tool has no opinion about it.
  • Not an official statistic, and not connected to any live price index.
  • Not a historical series. No past prices are drawn anywhere, because none were collected.

What it leaves out of your side

The pay figure assumes only the rate you entered. It does not account for promotions, changing jobs, or the ordinary progression that most careers have, all of which usually matter more than the rate does.

More guides

This piece explains how the calculations work. It does not promise any financial return and is not investment advice.